Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.915560 4.206529 4.517465 4.875974 5.279838 5.722973 6.249070
2025-04-27 3.501321 3.920445 4.398421 4.990419 5.713380 6.580445 7.719537
2025-05-04 3.247035 3.739065 4.325971 5.091338 6.084677 7.363216 9.192890
2025-05-11 3.014033 3.541738 4.192268 5.074286 6.274808 7.911537 10.432165
2025-05-18 2.816609 3.362802 4.053967 5.021214 6.391154 8.354138 11.584682
2025-05-25 2.621352 3.167470 3.872440 4.883524 6.361439 8.566888 12.406769
2025-06-01 2.471009 3.018003 3.736877 4.791299 6.378526 8.840745 13.373438
2025-06-08 2.375266 2.933147 3.680029 4.801602 6.543751 9.363572 14.894362
2025-06-15 2.309978 2.883999 3.666922 4.871181 6.803911 10.077660 16.969534
2025-06-22 2.180137 2.738247 3.507285 4.706072 6.665846 10.073634 17.557721
2025-06-29 2.077958 2.625799 3.388575 4.593987 6.602706 10.193674 18.450525
2025-07-06 1.993530 2.534112 3.294500 4.512548 6.581678 10.386591 19.567476
2025-07-13 1.920105 2.457824 3.223334 4.469517 6.635982 10.760471 21.341071
2025-07-20 1.888032 2.439794 3.238340 4.567707 6.955466 11.735386 25.192993
2025-07-27 1.855598 2.419108 3.247318 4.655631 7.266340 12.761055 29.832115
2025-08-03 1.801340 2.363286 3.198439 4.640741 7.377941 13.363464 33.496793
2025-08-10 1.743998 2.300179 3.134513 4.594419 7.421334 13.813712 36.943205
2025-08-17 1.674279 2.215639 3.032570 4.474085 7.301954 13.839063 38.701831
2025-08-24 1.617535 2.148699 2.955671 4.393354 7.256368 14.047751 41.485653
2025-08-31 1.583210 2.114586 2.929752 4.402378 7.400192 14.790839 47.613725
2025-09-07 1.561405 2.098710 2.932360 4.463286 7.662876 15.933414 57.527668
2025-09-14 1.500421 2.019912 2.828197 4.318654 7.454472 15.659638 58.337213
2025-09-21 1.451457 1.958494 2.750670 4.220276 7.342802 15.663235 61.229237